Banking blog series | 2) Support measures: from promise to proof

By Banking, News

In this blog, we want to provide practical tips about ways in which banks can successfully fulfil their societal role during this corona crisis.  

Entrepreneurs are in acute need
As expected, the demand from SMEs for support measures offered by the government and payment holidays offered by banks is high. At the end of March, about 40.000 self-employed and thousands of entrepreneurs (bars, restaurants and retail) applied for these measures. This massive amount of applications will probably increase further due to the extension of the corona measures until April 28. Current estimates are that up to 85% of all SMEs need support by its bank.  This requires fast handling. Only then, entrepreneurs in need – due to their direct loss of income – can continue to fulfil their obligations, such as paying their rent. 

We see different approaches in the way banks offer these payment holidays to their clientsAs ABN AMRO chooses for opt-out, ING and Rabobank offer their clients opt-in arrangementsThis means that ABN AMRO automatically includes all clients, unless they state that they do not want to make use of this arrangementOn the contrary, clients of ING and Rabobank need to apply for these payment holidays themselves when they want to participate. Each approach impacts the client and organisation differently.  

This acute need of measures makes it necessary for banks to design their operational processes in such a way they can start processing these tens of thousands of applications. Furthermore, this requires close cooperation with other parties, like the government and RVO. In short: a massive operation! 

tips to fulfil your promise 
Our experience has taught us that it’s important to already think two or three steps ahead, while taking these direct support measures that are needed during this corona crisis. This is, among others, demonstrated during the current contribution of IG&H to the National Coordination Centre for Patient Evacuation (read more here) 

In this article we will focus on practical tips1) people first2) fact-based decision making3) forward looking 

1) People first
Peoples vitality really is the most important condition to keep the bank up and running and to engage non-stop with clients in acute need. Especially for them, the support of banks is of the utmost importance! We see that clients in Retail, Leisure and Transport sectors are in most desperate need of this supportThese clients will remember the way the bank stands with them during this crisis, for a long time. The enormous amount of applications requires a short-term disciplined approach using ‘command and control’ style to accelerate.

2) Fact-based decision making
In order to process the massive amount of applications in a short period of time, banks need to act fastUsing resources efficiently demands an approach based on data and facts instead of gut feelingCreating a smart, data-driven assessment process helps tanalyze customer needs and assess liquidity forecastsThis makes it possible to estimate risks and prioritize them, which speeds up the process. Also, clients classified as high risks for payment difficulties, can be contacted pro-actively. Moreover, data can help to detect fraud in the enormous pile of applications, even though you surely assume your clients act in accordance with their best intention during this crisis.   

3) Forward looking
During times of crisis, immediate action as well as forward looking to future-proof solutions is required. Banks can play an important role in supporting their clients to establish a sustainable business model that can withstand these kinds of shocksBanks can realize this by assisting clients with smart solutions, for example a stress test app, which provides clients with real-time insights in their liquidity position and financial resilience. This way, banks can build sustainable business models and a sustainable relationship with its client. An impactful promise fulfilled!  

If you want to know more about these practical tips, we are willing to think along with you! 

In our next blog we will discuss how to shift from crisis management to forward looking for when this crisis ends 

Joppe Smit
Director at IG&H
E: joppe.smit@igh.com T: +31620352438 

Authors:
Bas de Jong (bas.dejong@igh.com); Laura Hendriks (laura.hendriks@igh.com); Juliette Vernooij (juliette.vernooij@igh.com ; Annelies Stemfoort (annelies.stemfoort@igh.com 

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Banks take societal role

By Banking, News

From crisis to opportunity
Even though the Corona crisis brings along huge challenges, it also offers the opportunity for banks to act in accordance with their purpose and take a societal role. This way, lost confidence of clients can be regainedAnd in addition, client loyalty can be increased by truly listening to clients’ needs and concernsBy combining fast decision making and execution power, banks can – especially now –  differentiate and position themselves as the partner in good and in bad times. The question remains: how? 

Banks take responsibility
The Corona virus has impacted the Dutch economy enormously within a short period of time. Big events are being cancelled, ‘social distancing’ is already the word of the year and both small, medium and large enterprises are forced to close their doors. As a consequence, many organisations are worried about their financial situation, also because most issued loans were based on growth, not taking this crisis into account.  

Immediately after the start of this crisis, many Dutch banks have acted upon their societal responsibility. Good JobBanks offer a great variety of support measures, such as extension of credit standards and deferral of interest and instalments, to support clients through these difficult timesBank employees are working overtime to answer questions of clients experiencing liquidity problems due to the Corona virus. While banks were part of the problem during the credit crisisthey are now playing a crucial role in the solution, thanks to strong capitalization and liquidity buffers. 

A challenging promise
While banks are well positioned to support entrepreneurs due to their strong capital position, mass demand of SMmight lead to huge operational challenges. Banks already find themselves in need of capacity for large compliance projects, like KYC and CDD, wherefore managing this crisis and the expected mass demand for deferral interest and instalments will only increase this need. All in all, this might lead to huge operational pressure. 

Making impact, now and in the future
During this crisis period, the operational execution and adaptability of banks are being testedFirst of all, the banks need to demonstrate to what degree they are able to support entrepreneurs efficiently. Secondlythis shows the ability of a bank to offer a solution for this crisis and at the same time keep the daily-operations up and running. For banks to actually position themselves as a partner in good and in bad times, it is necessary to deploy people, data and technologyMature use of digitalization and data-driven processes are crucial to efficiently handle applications. Doing this, banks are able to decrease their operational pressure and increase the delivered client valueThis way, banks can deliver their promise to support clients in need, today and in the future! 

In the following blog we will discuss the pre-conditions for successful crisis management.  

 Joppe Smit
Director at IG&H
E: joppe.smit@igh.com T: +31620352438 

Authors
Bas de Jong (bas.dejong@igh.com); Laura Hendriks (laura.hendriks@igh.com); Marijn Schneider (marijn.schneider@igh.com) 

 

IG&H starts series of blogs for banks in the Corona crisis
The banking industry takes societal role in the Corona crisis! In a series of blogs we will explain the lessons Corona teaches us and the opportunities this crisis gives us as the banking industry. The notion that the corona virus is impacting every bank, is a given. The virus puts huge pressure on the industry resulting in a great amount of questions and uncertainties. What is the effect of this crisis for our clients and employees? What can we do to make sure we can scale up after this crisis? What will the market look like after the crisis and how can we continue business like before the crisis? This first blog focuses on the impact of the Corona virus for commercial clients. 

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IG&H Mortgage Update | Insights from Q4 2019 and an annual review of 2019

By Banking, Mortgage Update, News

Utrecht, March 5, 2020 – New figures from Kadaster (The Netherlands’ Cadastre, Land Registry and Mapping Agency) show that growth in the mortgage market continued in the fourth quarter of 2019. This is mainly caused by the mortgage revenue increase among people taking out refinancing and additional loans. In the fourth quarter of 2019, the number of mortgages issued to this group grew by 26.1% compared to the preceding quarter. Over the whole of 2019, the mortgage market rose to a record high of €128 billion.

Download the Mortgage Update (in dutch)

“This surprisingly strong growth is caused by a rise in the number of mortgages as well as a mortgage loan increase,” says IG&H Consultancy’s Joppe Smit. In 2019, the average mortgage loan increased by 6.5%, reaching € 326,000 – its highest point since 2006. Compared to 2018, the number of mortgages increased by 13.4% to 392,000 mortgages taken out. This growth is mainly caused by an increase in the number of mortgages among people taking out refinancing and additional loans (+35.9% compared to 2018).

First-time homeowners lag behind
The mortgage revenue among first-time homeowners fell by 1.4% in the fourth quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2019, the number of mortgages taken out by first-time homeowners fell by 3.2%. The average mortgage loan among first-time homeowners, however, increased by 1.9% to €276,000, while it dropped among existing homeowners and those taking out refinancing and additional loans. “The number of mortgages only fell among first-time homeowners, and the average mortgage loan only increased among the same group,” says Joppe Smit. “This illustrates the difficult position they’re in.”

The majority of those taking out a mortgage is still made up of existing homeowners – with a market share of nearly 46%. However, those taking out refinancing and additional loans come increasingly closer with a market share of nearly 36%. Compared to the third quarter of 2019, the number of mortgages taken out, in particular, rose significantly (+26.1%) among those taking out refinancing and additional loans. Among existing homeowners, growth is less significant (+6.9%) compared to the third quarter of 2019.

Growth of Aegon’s and Munt’s market shares
In the fourth quarter of 2019, banks lost a market share (-4.7 percentage points) among all groups of people taking out mortgages. Investment funds enabling non-bank lending benefited from this decline and grew their market share (+4 percentage points). “What’s notable is that the market share of the top 3 banks dropped to 48.9%, hitting the lowest level since 2016,” says Joppe Smit.

This quarter, there were several noteworthy shifts in the top 10 providers. Aegon and Munt moved up 3 spots, taking the 5th and 6th spot. MUNT Hypotheken increased by 2.2%, marking the highest increase in the market. As a result, it has strengthened its position in the top 10 of mortgage lenders. The biggest losers in the market were Florius (-1.9%) and Volksbank (-1.2%), which dropped to the 7th and 9th spots, respectively.

We hope you enjoy reading the Mortgage Update and welcome your response!

Sincerely,

Joppe Smit
Director at IG&H
E: joppe.smit@igh.com T: 0031 6 2035 2438

IG&H Mortgage Update
Authors & data analysis:
Annelies Stemfoort (annelies.stemfoort@igh.com), Brenno Baas (brenno.baas@igh.com)

Corrected Kadaster figures
Due to shortcomings in data provided previously, Kadaster corrected and then re-provided figures over the whole of 2019. The figures included in this Mortgage Update are based on the new figures. After consultation, we also corrected one mortgage lender’s production figures, as these didn’t include a significant part of the production – even after Kadaster’s correction.

 

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2019 – Q3 | Mortgage market revival

By Banking, Mortgage Update, News

Utrecht, November 7, 2019 – The revival of the mortgage market results in the best third quarter since 2007. Mortgage revenue grows across the market by 15.1% compared to the previous quarter to €28 billion. This marks the market’s recovery from the shrinkage in the first six months of the year.

“The strong third quarter ensures the market comes close to the level of top year 2018 on an annual basis,” says Joppe Smit from consultancy firm IG&H. Revenue growth in the past quarter is caused by a rise in the number of mortgages as well as a mortgage loan increase. Compared to the second quarter, the number of mortgages increased by 12.8% to 85,000. The average mortgage loan rose to a new record high of €324,000.

Download the IG&H Mortgage Update (in dutch)

Growth among first-time homeowners
Remarkably, the number of mortgages among first-time homeowners also increased (+1.8%), while revenue even rose by 17.2% compared to the previous quarter. This is caused by a strong mortgage loan increase for first-time homeowners. “A possible explanation is that first-time homeowners are older, which means they can afford a higher mortgage loan,” says Smit.

Existing homeowners remain the largest group of those who take out a mortgage with a 46% share. Furthermore, those taking out refinancing and additional loans once again contribute significantly to the growth of the mortgage market (+ 16.5% compared to Q2). Therefore, this group continues to grow, which means it is increasingly important for mortgage lenders to focus on it.

Growth in market share of ABN AMRO and Florius
The market share of banks as a whole, as well as that of the Top 3 Bank Holding, grows at the expense of investment funds enabling non-bank lending. With a 65.9% market share, banks reach the highest market share since 2013, despite a shrinkage of ING and Rabobank. Determining factors for this growth are the increase in banks’ market share among those taking out refinancing and additional loans as well as the substantial growth of ABN AMRO and Florius in the past quarter. A possible explanation is that ABN AMRO has an above-average share of production in the growing group of those taking out refinancing and additional loans.

You can read more about these developments in the appendix, where you can also find the Mortgage Update. We hope you enjoy reading it and welcome your response!

Sincerely,

Joppe Smit
Director at IG&H
E: joppe.smit@igh.com T: 0031 6 2035 2438

IG&H Mortgage Update – authors & data analysis performers:
Niels Roelofs (niels.roelofs@igh.com); Annelies Stemfoort (annelies.stemfoort@igh.com)

2019 – Q2 | Further mortgage market shrinkage in the second quarter of 2019

By Banking, Hypotheekupdate, News

Mortgage revenue (-9.1%) and the number of mortgages sold (-12.5%) fell sharply

Compared to the same period last year, mortgage revenue fell by 12.5 percent in the second quarter of 2019, as consultancy firm IG&H’s Mortgage Update points out. Since the average mortgage loan only grows to a limited extent, mortgage revenue is also considerably lower than a year ago (-9.1 percent). As a result, this is the third consecutive quarter in which the mortgage market is shrinking on an annual basis.

In the past quarter, the average mortgage loan rose to a record amount of 317,000 euros – only a slight increase (+0.5 percent) compared to the first quarter of 2019 and a clear indication that growth of the mortgage loan is decreasing.

“There are signs across the board that the trend of strong growth in the mortgage market, which has persisted for years, seems to be broken,” says Joppe Smit, who works at consultancy and implementation firm IG&H. “This is the third consecutive quarter in which we observe shrinkage on an annual basis, although the second quarter of 2019 was better than the first three months of the year. Record year 2018 seems to remain unparalleled, which will put an end to the consecutive growth of the past five years.”

Mortgage refinancers grow increasingly important
Most mortgages (more than 31,000) are still taken out by existing homeowners. This is an 8-percent increase compared to the previous quarter. Mortgage refinancers show the strongest quarterly growth with 13 percent. “The number of mortgage refinancers continues to grow,” says Smit. “Mortgage lenders and consultants that specifically target this group can take advantage of this. On the other hand, it makes banks with large mortgage portfolios vulnerable. They will need to do more to retain these customers.”

Mortgage is one click away with an app
A notable trend in the mortgage market is the growing interest of banks and insurers in simplifying mortgage applications. The market is in the early stages of a digital data transition. “Right now, it’s not yet possible to take out a new mortgage on the sole basis of digital data,” says Smit. “Several sources with reliable and verified data have now been unlocked, but the number of sources should be increased. In addition, mortgage lenders should adjust their processes and systems in such a way that digital applications can also be processed immediately. It’s simply a matter of time before we can submit a complete mortgage application with a few clicks.”

IG&H is one of the initiators of ‘Handig!’ (Handy!). The purpose of this partnership between HDN, ING, NHG, Florius, ABN Amro, Rabobank, De Hypotheker, and IG&H is to make the process of applying for a mortgage as fast and complete as possible based on digital, validated source data. “We see that more and more parties are exploring digital possibilities,” says Smit. “DUO, for example, experiments with possibilities to make government data easier to share, but other parts of the government also follow these developments with interest. Developments will accelerate once they get on board, too.”

Sincerely,

Joppe Smit
Director at IG&H
E: joppe.smit@igh.com T: 0031 6 2035 2438

IG&H Mortgage Update – authors & data analysis:
Niels Roelofs (niels.roelofs@igh.com); Sophie Dijkkamp (sophie.dijkkamp@igh.com)